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Saturday 23 January 2016, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
41% 30% 29%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
29.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 41.0% 2.44
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Asteras Tripolis 29.2% 3.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.10
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.8% 2.14
No 53.2% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 70.8% 1.41
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 59.0% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
9.6
5.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
12.0
13.9
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
8.3
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.4
3.5
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.