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Sunday 13 December 2015, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
57% 26% 16%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 57.2% 1.75
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Asteras Tripolis 16.5% 6.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.60
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Under 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.84
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.46
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 83.5% 1.20
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 42.8% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
6.5
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
14.8
12.1
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.3
9.1
3.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
6.6
4.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.