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Saturday 5 December 2015, 15:00 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
56% 27% 17%
Home win
56.2%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 56.2% 1.78
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Iraklis 16.6% 6.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.69
Over 1.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.2% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.4% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.39
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.30
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 83.4% 1.20
Asteras Tripolis / Iraklis 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Iraklis 43.8% 2.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
6.9
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
15.7
12.3
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.5
8.8
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.