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Monday 2 November 2015, 19:30 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
27% 31% 42%
Home win
27.0%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
41.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis 27.0% 3.70
Draw 31.3% 3.20
Atromitos 41.7% 2.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.56
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.31
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.50
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis / Draw 58.3% 1.72
Iraklis / Atromitos 68.7% 1.45
Draw / Atromitos 73.0% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
14.0
8.7
3.5
1.0
0.2
1
10.4
14.0
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.0
6.0
3.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Iraklis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.