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Sunday 4 October 2015, 16:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
38% 34% 28%
Home win
37.9%
Draw
34.1%
Away win
28.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 37.9% 2.64
Draw 34.1% 2.93
Atromitos 28.0% 3.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.1% 5.84
Over 1.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 1.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 2.5 27.3% 3.67
Under 2.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.1% 9.03
Under 3.5 88.9% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.7% 26.77
Under 4.5 96.3% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.0% 2.78
No 64.0% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 72.0% 1.39
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 65.9% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 62.1% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.1
12.5
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
15.5
14.1
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
2
8.1
6.6
2.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
3
2.7
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.