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Sunday 13 September 2015, 16:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
40% 34% 27%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
33.9%
Away win
26.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 39.5% 2.53
Draw 33.9% 2.95
PAS Giannina 26.6% 3.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 0.5 17.0% 5.89
Over 1.5 55.1% 1.81
Under 1.5 44.9% 2.23
Over 2.5 27.5% 3.64
Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.2% 8.92
Under 3.5 88.8% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.35
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.78
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 73.4% 1.36
AEK Athens FC / PAS Giannina 66.1% 1.51
Draw / PAS Giannina 60.5% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.0
12.0
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.9
14.0
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
8.6
6.8
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
2.9
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.