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Sunday 3 May 2015, 19:00 Stadio Zosimades Full time
63% 23% 14%
Home win
62.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
13.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 62.7% 1.60
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Ergotelis 13.9% 7.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.88
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.70
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.94
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.63
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 86.1% 1.16
PAS Giannina / Ergotelis 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Ergotelis 37.3% 2.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
5.1
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.6
11.0
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.9
9.4
3.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
7.8
5.7
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.6
2.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.