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Sunday 30 March 2014, 18:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
45% 30% 25%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
24.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 45.4% 2.20
Draw 30.0% 3.33
PAS Giannina 24.5% 4.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.24
Over 1.5 64.7% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.3% 2.83
Over 2.5 37.1% 2.70
Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.6% 5.69
Under 3.5 82.4% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.32
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 75.5% 1.33
Ergotelis / PAS Giannina 70.0% 1.43
Draw / PAS Giannina 54.6% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
9.2
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
13.7
5.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
9.5
8.4
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
4.1
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.