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Sunday 23 March 2014, 19:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
10% 21% 69%
Home win
10.5%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
68.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 10.5% 9.54
Draw 20.6% 4.85
Olympiakos Piraeus 68.9% 1.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.39
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.02
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 31.1% 3.21
Ergotelis / Olympiakos Piraeus 79.4% 1.26
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 89.5% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
13.4
14.1
9.5
4.8
1.9
1
4.0
9.7
9.2
6.2
3.1
1.3
2
1.5
3.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.4
3
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.