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Sunday 2 March 2014, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
76% 18% 7%
Home win
75.6%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
6.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 75.6% 1.32
Draw 17.5% 5.71
Panathinaikos 6.9% 14.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.20
Over 1.5 75.9% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.1% 4.16
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.44
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.14
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.6% 2.73
No 63.4% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 93.1% 1.07
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panathinaikos 82.5% 1.21
Draw / Panathinaikos 24.4% 4.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.0
8.0
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.9
8.3
2.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
11.7
6.1
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
6.4
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.