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Saturday 1 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
27% 31% 42%
Home win
27.3%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
41.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 27.3% 3.66
Draw 31.1% 3.21
Panathinaikos 41.5% 2.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.68
Over 1.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.1% 2.69
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.2% 6.19
Under 3.5 83.8% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.06
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 58.5% 1.71
OFI / Panathinaikos 68.9% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 72.7% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
13.8
8.7
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.4
14.1
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.1
6.0
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.8
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.