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Sunday 19 January 2014, 19:30 Stadio Verias Full time
27% 30% 43%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
43.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 26.7% 3.75
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Panathinaikos 43.2% 2.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.46
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.51
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.70
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 56.8% 1.76
Veria / Panathinaikos 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Panathinaikos 73.3% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
13.2
8.9
3.7
1.2
0.3
1
9.5
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
4.8
6.1
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.5
1.9
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.