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Sunday 5 January 2014, 15:00 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
30% 32% 38%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
38.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 29.6% 3.38
Draw 32.4% 3.09
Panathinaikos 38.0% 2.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.92
Over 1.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 2.5 32.1% 3.11
Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.07
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.26
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.3% 2.48
No 59.7% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 62.0% 1.61
Panetolikos / Panathinaikos 67.6% 1.48
Draw / Panathinaikos 70.4% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
13.9
7.9
2.8
0.8
0.2
1
11.7
14.3
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
5.7
6.2
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.