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Saturday 14 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
45% 32% 22%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 45.2% 2.21
Draw 32.5% 3.08
Atromitos 22.3% 4.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.0% 6.25
Over 1.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.1% 3.43
Under 2.5 70.9% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.2% 8.19
Under 3.5 87.8% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.50
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.1% 2.77
No 63.9% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 67.5% 1.48
Draw / Atromitos 54.8% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.0
10.3
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.8
13.5
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.2
7.4
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.9
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.