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Sunday 8 December 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
29% 28% 42%
Home win
29.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
42.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 29.5% 3.39
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Panathinaikos 42.3% 2.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.12
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.22
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 57.7% 1.73
AEL Kallonis / Panathinaikos 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Panathinaikos 70.5% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
10.6
7.9
3.6
1.3
0.3
1
8.4
13.4
8.8
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.1
7.1
4.9
2.3
0.8
0.2
3
1.9
2.6
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.