Skip to content
Sunday 1 December 2013, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
46% 28% 26%
Home win
45.7%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
26.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 45.7% 2.19
Draw 27.9% 3.58
AEL Kallonis 26.3% 3.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.96
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.41
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 73.7% 1.36
OFI / AEL Kallonis 72.1% 1.39
Draw / AEL Kallonis 54.3% 1.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
7.9
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
11.3
13.3
6.5
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
9.0
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
4.2
4.4
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.