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Sunday 3 November 2013, 19:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
44% 30% 26%
Home win
43.8%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 43.8% 2.28
Draw 30.0% 3.33
Aris Thessalonikis 26.2% 3.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.50
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.90
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.48
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.60
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 73.8% 1.35
OFI / Aris Thessalonikis 70.0% 1.43
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 56.2% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
9.4
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.3
13.8
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
9.0
8.4
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.8
3.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.