Sunday 20 October 2013, 18:15
Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis
Full time
42%
30%
27%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
27.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI / Draw | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| OFI / Ergotelis | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
14.0
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2015
Ergotelis
3-2
OFI
Dec 2014
OFI
1-0
Ergotelis
Feb 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
OFI
Feb 2012
Ergotelis
0-1
OFI
Oct 2011
OFI
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.