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Sunday 15 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
31% 30% 39%
Home win
31.4%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 31.4% 3.19
Draw 30.1% 3.32
Asteras Tripolis 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.94
Over 1.5 66.9% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.1% 3.02
Over 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.17
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.55
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.6% 2.15
No 53.4% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 61.5% 1.63
OFI / Asteras Tripolis 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 68.6% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
11.7
7.5
3.0
0.9
0.2
1
10.2
14.1
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
5.8
7.0
4.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.1
2.5
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.