Skip to content
Sunday 1 September 2013, 19:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
59% 25% 16%
Home win
58.7%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
16.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 58.7% 1.70
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Apollon Smirnis 16.4% 6.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.40
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.59
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.5% 4.08
Under 3.5 75.5% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.05
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 83.6% 1.20
Asteras Tripolis / Apollon Smirnis 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 41.3% 2.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
5.8
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
13.3
11.7
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.5
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.8
5.4
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.9
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.