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Sunday 26 May 2013, 18:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
54% 27% 18%
Home win
54.4%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
18.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 54.4% 1.84
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Asteras Tripolis 18.4% 5.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.43
Over 1.5 67.9% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.1% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.91
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.71
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.2% 2.31
No 56.8% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 81.6% 1.23
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 45.6% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.4
12.6
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.1
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.9
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.