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Sunday 14 April 2013, 19:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
29% 31% 40%
Home win
29.3%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
39.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 29.3% 3.41
Draw 30.8% 3.24
Asteras Tripolis 39.9% 2.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.12
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.62
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 60.1% 1.66
Aris Thessalonikis / Asteras Tripolis 69.2% 1.45
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 70.7% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
12.8
8.1
3.2
0.9
0.2
1
10.4
14.1
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
5.5
6.5
3.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
3
1.8
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.