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Saturday 6 April 2013, 19:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
54% 30% 16%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
16.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 54.3% 1.84
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Aris Thessalonikis 16.0% 6.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.1% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.9% 6.72
Over 1.5 58.8% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.2% 2.43
Over 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.4% 7.44
Under 3.5 86.6% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.62
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.92
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 84.0% 1.19
Atromitos / Aris Thessalonikis 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 45.7% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.9
7.9
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
18.4
12.3
3.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
7.8
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
5.8
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.