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Saturday 30 March 2013, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
41% 31% 28%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
27.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 41.2% 2.43
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Panthrakikos 27.9% 3.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.93
Over 1.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.94
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.20
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 72.1% 1.39
Aris Thessalonikis / Panthrakikos 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Panthrakikos 58.8% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
10.3
5.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.4
14.1
6.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
8.5
8.0
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.