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Sunday 24 February 2013, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
37% 31% 32%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
32.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 37.0% 2.70
Draw 31.0% 3.23
Panthrakikos 32.0% 3.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.13
Over 1.5 64.4% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.6% 2.81
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.59
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 68.0% 1.47
Panionios / Panthrakikos 69.0% 1.45
Draw / Panthrakikos 63.0% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
11.1
6.1
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
12.2
14.2
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
7.4
7.6
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
2.8
2.9
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.