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Saturday 19 January 2013, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
62% 24% 14%
Home win
61.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
14.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 61.8% 1.62
Draw 24.0% 4.17
Panthrakikos 14.2% 7.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.29
Over 1.5 71.9% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.1% 3.55
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.21
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 85.8% 1.17
Panathinaikos / Panthrakikos 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Panthrakikos 38.2% 2.62

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
5.3
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.9
11.2
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.9
9.4
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.6
5.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.4
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.