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Monday 10 December 2012, 19:30 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 41.7% 2.40
Draw 31.1% 3.22
AEK Athens FC 27.3% 3.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.72
Over 1.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 2.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.15
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.91
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 72.7% 1.37
Panthrakikos / AEK Athens FC 68.9% 1.45
Draw / AEK Athens FC 58.3% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
10.3
5.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
13.7
14.0
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.7
7.9
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.5
3.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.