Skip to content
Sunday 11 November 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
17% 27% 56%
Home win
17.3%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
55.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 17.3% 5.77
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Olympiakos Piraeus 55.7% 1.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.2% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.8% 9.25
Over 1.5 67.4% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.6% 3.07
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.03
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.09
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.38
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 44.3% 2.26
AEK Athens FC / Olympiakos Piraeus 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 82.7% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.8
14.9
12.1
6.2
2.4
0.7
1
6.9
12.4
9.0
4.6
1.8
0.6
2
2.8
4.4
3.4
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.1
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.