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Sunday 28 October 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
41% 32% 28%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 40.8% 2.45
Draw 31.6% 3.17
Platanias 27.7% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.39
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.49
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.13
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 72.3% 1.38
AEK Athens FC / Platanias 68.4% 1.46
Draw / Platanias 59.2% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
10.7
5.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.9
14.1
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.5
7.7
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.3
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Platanias goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.