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Sunday 7 October 2012, 18:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
35% 33% 32%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
32.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 35.1% 2.85
Draw 32.6% 3.07
Platanias 32.3% 3.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.87
Over 1.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 2.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.0% 7.13
Under 3.5 86.0% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.49
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.4% 2.48
No 59.6% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 67.7% 1.48
Aris Thessalonikis / Platanias 67.4% 1.48
Draw / Platanias 64.9% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
12.5
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
13.2
14.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
7.1
6.9
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.4
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Platanias goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.