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Sunday 2 September 2012, 18:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
42% 34% 24%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
34.1%
Away win
23.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 42.1% 2.38
Draw 34.1% 2.93
OFI 23.9% 4.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 0.5 17.8% 5.62
Over 1.5 53.6% 1.86
Under 1.5 46.4% 2.16
Over 2.5 26.2% 3.82
Under 2.5 73.8% 1.35
Over 3.5 10.4% 9.60
Under 3.5 89.6% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.4% 29.08
Under 4.5 96.6% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.2% 2.93
No 65.8% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 76.1% 1.31
Aris Thessalonikis / OFI 65.9% 1.52
Draw / OFI 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.8
11.5
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
17.1
13.6
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.4
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.3
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.