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Sunday 1 April 2012, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
55.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
17.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 55.0% 1.82
Draw 27.1% 3.69
Aris Thessalonikis 17.9% 5.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.37
Over 1.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.10
Over 2.5 40.5% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.2% 4.96
Under 3.5 79.8% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.85
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.1% 1.22
Panathinaikos / Aris Thessalonikis 72.9% 1.37
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 45.0% 2.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
6.9
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
14.6
12.5
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.1
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.