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Sunday 11 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
65% 24% 11%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
10.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 65.4% 1.53
Draw 23.9% 4.19
Aris Thessalonikis 10.7% 9.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.13
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.51
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.2% 2.84
No 64.8% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 89.3% 1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus / Aris Thessalonikis 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 34.6% 2.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
5.1
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
17.2
10.4
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.3
8.4
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
8.8
4.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.8
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.