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Sunday 5 February 2012, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
40% 28% 32%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 40.0% 2.50
Draw 27.6% 3.63
Olympiakos Piraeus 32.4% 3.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.62
Over 1.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.3% 3.95
Over 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.1% 3.68
Under 3.5 72.9% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.7% 7.84
Under 4.5 87.3% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.2% 1.85
No 45.8% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 67.6% 1.48
PAOK / Olympiakos Piraeus 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 60.0% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
8.1
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
1
9.3
13.1
7.7
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
7.0
8.7
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
3.3
4.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.1
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.