Sunday 15 January 2012, 17:15
Stadio Toumbas
Full time
64%
23%
13%
Home win
64.4%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| PAOK / Ergotelis | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
10.6
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.1
|
9.5
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
6.0
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2015
PAOK
1-0
Ergotelis
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
0-2
PAOK
Mar 2014
Ergotelis
2-2
PAOK
Nov 2013
PAOK
2-1
Ergotelis
Sep 2011
Ergotelis
2-1
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.