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Saturday 10 December 2011, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
51% 30% 19%
Home win
50.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
19.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 50.8% 1.97
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Atromitos 19.3% 5.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.36
Over 1.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.57
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.42
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 80.7% 1.24
PAOK / Atromitos 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Atromitos 49.2% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
8.5
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.4
13.0
4.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
8.2
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.1
3.7
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.