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Sunday 4 December 2011, 17:15 Stadio Zosimades Full time
2–2
HT 1–1
33% 33% 34%
Home win
33.4%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
34.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 33.4% 3.00
Draw 32.6% 3.07
PAOK 34.1% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.90
Over 1.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.10
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.35
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 65.9% 1.52
PAS Giannina / PAOK 67.4% 1.48
Draw / PAOK 66.6% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
12.9
6.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
12.7
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
6.7
6.7
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.