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Sunday 30 October 2011, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–3
HT 0–1
37% 30% 34%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
33.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 36.7% 2.73
Draw 29.7% 3.37
Panathinaikos 33.6% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.55
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.38
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.07
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 66.4% 1.51
PAOK / Panathinaikos 70.3% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
10.2
6.2
2.4
0.7
0.2
1
10.8
14.0
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.0
7.9
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.8
3.2
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.