Sunday 25 September 2011, 20:30
Stadio Toumbas
Full time
38%
21%
41%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
41.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.82 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.8% | 55.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.1% | 14.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| No | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| PAOK / AEK Athens FC | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / AEK Athens FC | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.8
|
2.7
|
3.4
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
2.6
|
6.8
|
7.0
|
5.1
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
6.7
|
7.3
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
4.6
|
5.0
|
3.7
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
2.4
|
2.6
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
PAOK
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Apr 2026
AEK Athens FC
3-0
PAOK
Feb 2026
PAOK
0-0
AEK Athens FC
Oct 2025
AEK Athens FC
0-2
PAOK
May 2025
PAOK
1-0
AEK Athens FC
Mar 2025
AEK Athens FC
2-3
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.