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Sunday 18 September 2011, 18:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
36% 15% 49%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
49.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 35.7% 2.80
Draw 15.1% 6.61
PAOK 49.2% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.1% 735.29
Over 1.5 99.4% 1.01
Under 1.5 0.6% 175.44
Over 2.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 2.5 2.6% 38.30
Over 3.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 3.5 7.3% 13.61
Over 4.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 4.5 15.8% 6.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 94.4% 1.06
No 5.6% 17.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 50.8% 1.97
Panionios / PAOK 84.9% 1.18
Draw / PAOK 64.3% 1.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.1
0.2
0.6
0.7
0.7
0.5
1
0.2
1.0
1.9
2.4
2.3
1.7
2
0.4
1.7
3.2
4.0
3.8
2.9
3
0.5
1.8
3.5
4.5
4.3
3.3
4
0.4
1.5
3.0
3.8
3.6
2.7
5
0.3
1.0
2.0
2.5
2.4
1.8
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.