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Saturday 10 September 2011, 19:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
15% 50% 35%
Home win
14.9%
Draw
50.2%
Away win
34.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 14.9% 6.72
Draw 50.2% 1.99
PAOK 34.9% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 57.6% 1.74
Under 0.5 42.4% 2.36
Over 1.5 22.0% 4.55
Under 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Over 2.5 5.8% 17.39
Under 2.5 94.2% 1.06
Over 3.5 1.2% 84.18
Under 3.5 98.8% 1.01
Over 4.5 0.2% 500.00
Under 4.5 99.8% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 11.5% 8.73
No 88.5% 1.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 65.1% 1.54
Ergotelis / PAOK 49.8% 2.01
Draw / PAOK 85.1% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
42.4
23.8
7.0
1.3
0.2
0.0
1
11.8
7.5
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
1.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.