Wednesday 18 March 2015, 17:15
Stadio Toumbas
Full time
78%
14%
8%
Home win
77.8%
Draw
14.3%
Away win
8.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.3% | 7.00 | — | — |
| Ergotelis | 8.0% | 12.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.2% | 8.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| PAOK / Ergotelis | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Ergotelis | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
6.6
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
8.7
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
8.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.8
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2014
Ergotelis
0-2
PAOK
Mar 2014
Ergotelis
2-2
PAOK
Nov 2013
PAOK
2-1
Ergotelis
Jan 2012
PAOK
2-1
Ergotelis
Sep 2011
Ergotelis
2-1
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.