Monday 23 February 2015, 19:30
Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis
Full time
26%
30%
44%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
43.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Atromitos | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis / Draw | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Ergotelis / Atromitos | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Atromitos | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
13.3
|
9.0
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.9
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
6.1
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.9
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2014
Atromitos
1-1
Ergotelis
Jan 2014
Ergotelis
0-1
Atromitos
Aug 2013
Atromitos
2-2
Ergotelis
Apr 2012
Ergotelis
2-2
Atromitos
Dec 2011
Atromitos
1-0
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.