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Wednesday 18 February 2015, 17:15 Pankritio Stadio Full time
45% 28% 27%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 44.9% 2.23
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Panionios 27.3% 3.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.38
Over 1.5 72.4% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.6% 3.63
Over 2.5 46.2% 2.17
Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.7% 4.05
Under 3.5 75.3% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.96
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 72.7% 1.38
Ergotelis / Panionios 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Panionios 55.1% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
7.9
4.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
10.9
13.2
6.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.4
9.0
4.9
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
4.1
4.4
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.