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Saturday 14 February 2015, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
91% 7% 2%
Home win
91.1%
Draw
6.8%
Away win
2.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 91.1% 1.10
Draw 6.8% 14.69
Ergotelis 2.1% 48.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 50.58
Over 1.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 1.5 8.8% 11.34
Over 2.5 76.5% 1.31
Under 2.5 23.5% 4.25
Over 3.5 57.0% 1.75
Under 3.5 43.0% 2.33
Over 4.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 4.5 62.5% 1.60

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.4% 2.68
No 62.6% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.9% 1.02
Olympiakos Piraeus / Ergotelis 93.2% 1.07
Draw / Ergotelis 8.9% 11.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
6.2
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
11.2
5.4
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.3
6.4
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
11.7
5.7
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
8.3
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.