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Sunday 1 December 2013, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
88% 10% 3%
Home win
87.7%
Draw
9.6%
Away win
2.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 87.7% 1.14
Draw 9.6% 10.41
Ergotelis 2.7% 36.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.39
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.83
Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.3% 2.91
Over 3.5 43.8% 2.29
Under 3.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 4.5 25.2% 3.96
Under 4.5 74.8% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.6% 3.07
No 67.4% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.3% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / Ergotelis 90.4% 1.11
Draw / Ergotelis 12.3% 8.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
9.8
4.5
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
14.9
6.2
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.8
6.2
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
10.9
4.6
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
6.5
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.