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Saturday 18 October 2014, 20:30 Pankritio Stadio Full time
13% 22% 65%
Home win
12.9%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
65.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 12.9% 7.75
Draw 21.9% 4.56
Olympiakos Piraeus 65.2% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.67
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.12
Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.4% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.50
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.30
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.8% 2.18
No 54.2% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 34.8% 2.87
Ergotelis / Olympiakos Piraeus 78.1% 1.28
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 87.1% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
12.5
12.8
8.3
4.1
1.6
1
4.4
10.4
9.6
6.2
3.0
1.2
2
1.9
3.7
3.6
2.3
1.1
0.4
3
0.5
0.9
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.