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Saturday 30 August 2014, 19:15 Stadio Municipal Full time
34% 29% 37%
Home win
34.4%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
36.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis 34.4% 2.91
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Ergotelis 36.8% 2.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.71
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.4% 4.28
Under 3.5 76.6% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.68
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEL Kallonis / Draw 63.2% 1.58
AEL Kallonis / Ergotelis 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Ergotelis 65.6% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
10.0
6.7
2.8
0.9
0.2
1
9.5
13.7
8.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.2
7.8
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.2
3
2.5
3.1
2.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEL Kallonis goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.