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Sunday 6 April 2014, 19:00 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
48% 25% 27%
Home win
48.0%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
26.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 48.0% 2.08
Draw 25.3% 3.95
Ergotelis 26.7% 3.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.23
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.82
Over 2.5 55.5% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.5% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 3.5 66.9% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.9% 5.93
Under 4.5 83.1% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.0% 1.73
No 42.0% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 73.3% 1.36
Apollon Smirnis / Ergotelis 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Ergotelis 52.0% 1.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
6.0
4.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.6
11.9
6.8
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.5
5.8
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
4.4
5.4
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.9
2.3
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.