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Sunday 30 March 2014, 18:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
55% 24% 21%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 55.4% 1.81
Draw 23.9% 4.18
Apollon Smirnis 20.7% 4.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.39
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.83
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 4.5 16.9% 5.90
Under 4.5 83.1% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.6% 1.80
No 44.4% 2.25

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 79.3% 1.26
Panthrakikos / Apollon Smirnis 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
5.1
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
9.5
11.3
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
5.8
6.1
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.7
2.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.0
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.